Originally posted by: Bronty
Originally posted by: qixmaster
Originally posted by: Bronty
Joe: don't confuse a game being hot for a lack of sealed premium. if that were true then the 9.6 cib castlevania at 750 would have been higher than the 8.5 sealed than sold for 1800 or so at heritage. And the cib turtles games would have gone for 4X or 5x the 400 bucks they sold for as 9.6 cibs. And the sealed Mario arcade would not have gone for what it did, nor the metal gear. Pretty much the whole auction disproves what you’re saying There's a kernel of truth in what you say in that they place less emphasis on sealed or not but IMO based on the convos I've had that's also changing as they wisen up.
well i mean a 7.0 rev-a excitebike sold for $751.... so the turtles and CV were steals in retrospect. I don't think collectors quite know how hard it is to get 9.6s on CIBs. I'd MUCH rather have a 9.6 CIB than an 8.5 sealed. The box is nicer and it is essentially new but opened. There will come a day when people stop valuing plastic on a box and place value on actual overall condition. 9.6 box is a 9.6 box. 8.5 box is an 8.5 box. that's just it.
No. The excitebike went high, but I bet a sealed excitebike round seal would have gone much higher than that.
The issue I have with your line of thought, while I understand 9.6 cibs are probably legitimately tough, is the way that wata
a) grades the parts on average for cibs, yet
b) only grades the box for sealed.
In other words, open up a 8.5 sealed and you'll have a 8.5 box, "100% complete" contents, and 9.8 or at worst 9.6 on the manual and cart. That sealed 8.5 in other words is likely a 9.4 cib the minute you pop the cello because the cart manual etc will bring the average grade up, to say nothing of the extra contents.
Moreover, I've never seen an opened game that didn't have a crack line on the back. IMO its unsightly and I'd personally never give an opened game a 9.6 in the first place.
You probably have a different POV and that's fine, but let's not pretend its 'all about the cellophane.' Its about rarity differential, about being completely unused, and about the contents being completely mint and complete.
I get what you're saying in theory, in that a truly gem cib (like the 1 out of 1000 copy) might be worth what some lower grade sealed copy is worth. Where that line is, is up for debate, but I'll take the 8.5 sealed any day in your illustration because I don't know that your cib 9.6 even has all the right contents. I know it has the cart, manual, and box, but anything else that came with the game isn't even part of the cib grade whereas on the sealed copy I not only know its present, I know its present and mint.
Ultimately the minute you start placing this kind of value on a cib, what happened with qualified VGA games will repeat and the price will correct itself. HG cib supply will increase through frankensteining (married parts). Maybe not at the 9.6 level but at the 9.2 level? For sure. You really only need one truly high grade part out of three to average a 9.2 or even 9.4. (say 9.0, 9.0, 9.8 "averaging" to 9.4).
9.4 on a CIB is extremely tough. 9.6 is legitimately a stellar copy as much as I hate to say it. I just sent in one of the mintest damn CIBs I've ever seen it only got 9.4. Felt like it had maybe been opened once or twice (you know, the extremely tight hinge flap feeling), everything inside perfect beautiful to the naked eye. Still 9.4, though I don't know the cart / box / manual breakout yet. Hoping the box was a 9.6 at least.
I'm assuming at 9.6 level the cart has probably never been inserted into a NES period. I'm theorizing here, but maybe inserting into the NES causes some very faint abrasions that affect value. Because all carts that look Mint to the casual eye are getting docked significant points.
And your theory is just as flawed as assuming opening a factory sealed case of games automatically means VGA 100 or A++ / 10. We've seen factory uncirculated fresh games as low as VGA 85 (probably 9.0 A or somewhere there abouts) and same applies to manual on a CIB. You'd hope the cart is at least 9.8 or so from never being used but I bet the manual would have some wear.
For whatever reason, Wata's sealed scale seems extremely lax. Getting 9.4 is fairly easy there if you have a good eye. But on CIB? 9.4 is legitimately the mintest of the mint stuff. It's really bewildering to be honest. Also the CIB grading is .5 box, .3 cart, .2 manual, so it's not just about finding one really mint component. It's about finding a mint box then trying to find an unused cart and finding a virtually unhandled manual. It's not easy. It's really just about buying a MINT CIB in the first place because piecing together would be futile on the top end stuff. You can piece a 7.0 to an 8.0 but you aren't piecing a 9.4 to a 9.6.
I do agree 10.0 CIB shouldn't exist though, so 9.8 (or 9.6 maybe) is realistically the max. Thus you see how just by the nature of having a smaller scale, a 9.6 CIB is basically perfection while you can still go 2 full grades higher on sealed. There's some 10.0s out there.